Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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HEREFORD vs. KIDDERMINSTER HARRIERS
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Hereford vs. Kidderminster Harriers.
Venue | Wins for equivalent team to Hereford (ELO score: 3083) |
Draws | Wins for equivalent team to Kidderminster Harriers (ELO score: 3227) |
---|---|---|---|
TOTAL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Away | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 JAN 2010 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3227) |
5 - 1 | Blyth Spartans (3083) |
9.5 |
15 SEP 2007 | CONF | Tamworth (3227) |
0 - 0 | Barrow (3083) |
5.1 |
A historical comparison of Hereford's and Kidderminster Harriers's ELO scores.
Hereford | Kidderminster Harriers | |
---|---|---|
Current ELO Score: | 3083.4 | 3226.6 |
Best ELO Score: | 3777.9 Saturday, September 4, 1976 |
3559 Monday, August 28, 2000 |
Worst ELO Score: | 2756.8 Friday, December 26, 2014 |
3079.1 Saturday, January 25, 2020 |
A summary of all historical matches between Hereford and Kidderminster Harriers.
Venue | Played | Hereford wins |
Draws | Kidderminster Harriers wins |
Hereford goals |
Kidderminster Harriers goals |
Hereford SR% |
Kidderminster Harriers SR% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOTAL | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 47.8% | 52.2% |
HOME | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 54.5% | 45.5% |
AWAY | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 41.7% | 58.3% |
Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 JAN 2023 | CONF | Kidderminster Harriers (3110) |
1 - 1 | Hereford (3073) |
2.1 |
26 DEC 2022 | CONF | Hereford (3083) |
0 - 1 | Kidderminster Harriers (3099) |
10.6 |
15 FEB 2022 | CONF | Kidderminster Harriers (3246) |
3 - 0 | Hereford (3141) |
10.7 |
18 JAN 2022 | CONF | Hereford (3087) |
2 - 0 | Kidderminster Harriers (3241) |
19.8 |
2 JAN 2021 | CONF | Kidderminster Harriers (3145) |
1 - 1 | Hereford (3081) |
2.9 |
26 DEC 2020 | CONF | Hereford (3061) |
3 - 1 | Kidderminster Harriers (3163) |
17.6 |
1 JAN 2020 | CONF | Hereford (3047) |
2 - 1 | Kidderminster Harriers (3110) |
10.7 |
26 DEC 2019 | CONF | Kidderminster Harriers (3105) |
3 - 1 | Hereford (3069) |
11.8 |
1 JAN 2019 | CONF | Kidderminster Harriers (3180) |
2 - 1 | Hereford (3074) |
6 |
26 DEC 2018 | CONF | Hereford (3042) |
1 - 0 | Kidderminster Harriers (3201) |
13.3 |
28 JAN 2014 | CONF | Hereford United (3378) |
1 - 1 | Kidderminster Harriers (3435) |
0.5 |
26 DEC 2013 | CONF | Kidderminster Harriers (3449) |
2 - 1 | Hereford United (3358) |
6.4 |
1 JAN 2013 | CONF | Kidderminster Harriers (3442) |
0 - 1 | Hereford United (3397) |
12.5 |
26 DEC 2012 | CONF | Hereford United (3408) |
0 - 1 | Kidderminster Harriers (3431) |
10.5 |
25 MAR 2006 | CONF | Hereford United (3556) |
0 - 1 | Kidderminster Harriers (3317) |
16.9 |
29 OCT 2005 | CONF | Kidderminster Harriers (3350) |
1 - 1 | Hereford United (3503) |
2.7 |
3 JAN 2000 | CONF | Kidderminster Harriers (3461) |
1 - 1 | Hereford United (3422) |
3 |
27 DEC 1999 | CONF | Hereford United (3423) |
1 - 1 | Kidderminster Harriers (3461) |
0.9 |
2 JAN 1999 | CONF | Hereford United (3424) |
1 - 3 | Kidderminster Harriers (3403) |
18.7 |
26 DEC 1998 | CONF | Kidderminster Harriers (3402) |
1 - 0 | Hereford United (3444) |
9.3 |
1 JAN 1998 | CONF | Kidderminster Harriers (3400) |
1 - 4 | Hereford United (3421) |
19.7 |
26 DEC 1997 | CONF | Hereford United (3413) |
1 - 0 | Kidderminster Harriers (3408) |
8.1 |
27 NOV 1948 | CUP | Kidderminster Harriers (3169) |
0 - 3 | Hereford United (3174) |
22.1 |